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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

HEREFORD vs. ALFRETON TOWN
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Hereford's and Alfreton Town's ELO scores.


  Hereford   Alfreton Town  
  Current ELO Score: 3083.4   3197.1  
  Best ELO Score: 3777.9  
Saturday, September 4, 1976  
3387  
Tuesday, March 18, 2014  
  Worst ELO Score: 2756.8  
Friday, December 26, 2014  
2989.8  
Saturday, August 21, 2021  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Hereford and Alfreton Town.

 Venue Played Hereford
wins
Draws Alfreton Town
wins
Hereford
goals
Alfreton Town
goals
Hereford
SR%
Alfreton Town
SR%
 TOTAL 14 3 6 5 23 25 42.9% 57.1%
 HOME 7 2 3 2 13 13 50.0% 50.0%
 AWAY 7 1 3 3 10 12 35.7% 64.3%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
12 MAR 2024 CONF Hereford  
(3089)  
3 - 3   Alfreton Town
  (3160)
1
24 OCT 2023 CONF Alfreton Town  
(3129)  
3 - 1   Hereford
  (3052)
10.3
11 FEB 2023 CONF Hereford  
(3078)  
0 - 0   Alfreton Town
  (3127)
0.3
3 SEP 2022 CONF Alfreton Town  
(3120)  
1 - 1   Hereford
  (3079)
2.2
2 APR 2022 CONF Hereford  
(3122)  
1 - 2   Alfreton Town
  (3026)
13.7
23 OCT 2021 CONF Alfreton Town  
(3047)  
3 - 3   Hereford
  (3071)
0.4
1 FEB 2020 CONF Alfreton Town  
(3065)  
2 - 0   Hereford
  (3046)
12.5
12 NOV 2019 CONF Hereford  
(3110)  
1 - 2   Alfreton Town
  (3073)
12.2
9 APR 2019 CONF Alfreton Town  
(3077)  
1 - 1   Hereford
  (3117)
0
1 DEC 2018 CONF Hereford  
(3037)  
2 - 1   Alfreton Town
  (3062)
9.5
21 APR 2014 CONF Hereford United  
(3262)  
3 - 2   Alfreton Town
  (3341)
11.1
26 AUG 2013 CONF Alfreton Town  
(3339)  
2 - 1   Hereford United
  (3423)
11.2
12 JAN 2013 CONF Hereford United  
(3407)  
3 - 3   Alfreton Town
  (3312)
3.8
18 AUG 2012 CONF Alfreton Town  
(3301)  
0 - 3   Hereford United
  (3453)
12.1